Freddy Wills
19-8 This Bowl Season + 26-11 ats this season on NCAAF PODs! Today we will have a LARGE play on the Fiesta Bowl Don't MISS OUT!
"The will to win means nothing without the will to prepare"
I have been wagering on sports for eight years now. I am a former division II athlete with an undergrad in Sports Management and Masters in Business Administration. You should also know this is my real job and I claim it on my tax return. Every play I put out on the site I am betting myself.
I use a betting philosophy that is backed by betting on an underdog that has a legitimate shot at winning the game outright. Although this varies from sport to sport. I never force plays and always give you a written analysis. All of my plays must meet a certain number of requirements before I considers them as a release. This includes my free pick releases.
I use a variety of factors in my betting philosophy, such as statistical software, trend analysis, public betting %'s and other emotional advantages. This is the same strategy I used to win 64% of my College Football games in 2008.
Lastly, you must know that I bet on all of the games I recommend. When you lose I lose, something I do not take lightly. I am as competitive and determined as anyone you will meet which is why I have found success in this industry.
HOT STREAKS
MLB 100-74-4
(58% for +$1601) Last 178
- All Picks
Friday, March 19, 2010
Cornell vs. Temple (NCAAB) - 12:30 PM EDT
Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: 3.5/-101 Cornell
Win
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Cornell +4 (4-Dime Play); Cornell +150 (1.5 Dime bonus)@ BODOG
Cornell is a very good team and although they come from the Ivy League which nobody respects they can beat anyone in the country. They did not have a cup cake non-conference schedule with games @Kansas only losing by 5 and playing @ Syracuse arguably the two best teams in the country. They have impressive wins @alabama and St. Johns.
Temple on the other hand has been very solid as well, but I raise my eyebrow at loss at home to St. Johns a team Cornell beat, and a loss at home to Kansas by 32 points a team Cornell lost by just 5 on the road. Now that all means nothing because the game is about match ups, but if you need confidence there you have it.
Why I like this bet is Jeff Foote he is clearly the X-factor here today and the one guy that gives Cornell a chance. Not only is he 7 feet, but he's averaging 12 ppg and 8 rebounds. More importantly he opens things up outside for Cornell pure shooters. Cornell has 5 players who have shot more than 39 treys this year and guess what all of them have a better than 40% shooting percentage from the perimeter. It starts with 6'7 Ryan Wittman who averages 17.5ppg and 42.3% from beyond the arch. I believe Cornell covers and gets the out right upset.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Toronto Raptors (NBA) - 7:05 PM EDT
Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: 1/-110 Toronto Raptors
Loss
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Raptors +1 BODOG (4-Dimes)
Raptors got a game winning shot from Bosh in its last home game and they are now 23-10 at home this year. The Thunder are coming off an emotional loss losing the the Bobcats after holding a 19 point lead. I like how this Raptors team plays at home and with 77% of the public on the Thunder the line has moved from -1.5 to -1 and even to pk at some places and by game time I wouldn't be shocked to see the Raptors as favorites.
Durant missed 17 of his last 26 shots in his last game which is not a good sign for the Thunder if he goes into any sort of a slump. Toronto has won three striaght against this team at home and I believe they'll make it 4 straight tonight.
Spurs -6.5 1st half 2.5 Dime play
I played the first half as a bonus in a few games lately going 2-0 with success under my strategy. Tonight the Spurs off a loss at Orlando return home as the Warriors off a big home win go on the road. The Spurs have looked like the old Spurs as of late and I believe they come out with some fire and are up by double digits by half time.
Florida State vs. Gonzaga (NCAAB) - 7:10 PM EDT
Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: -1.5/-108 Florida State
Loss
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Florida State -1.5 (4.5 Dime POD)
Florida State from the ACC has the nations best defense with Singleton and 7'1 Alabi in the front court. I really like them to upset Gonzaga, a team that is off an emotional loss to St. Mary's. Gonzaga is down this year, and I believe they just won't be able to score like they want to against Florida State. Florida state led the ACC and nation with 37.4% FG defense. Their one flaw is turning the ball over, but Zaga only averages 6.5 steals per game and is not a real threat in forcing turnovers.
Zaga is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 NCAA tournaments and 2-5 ATS vs. ACC opponents including a home loss to Wake Forest earlier in the year. On neutral court I just feel FSU is 5-10 points better than Gonzaga, but thankfully they are the higher seed giving us a nice line at -1.5 to promote people betting on Gonzaga which the public is doing since opening up at pk, but it has moved to -1.5 because a lot of smart money has come in on the nations best defense.
The strength of schedules are just unmatched as Gonzaga has faced 118th ranked strength of schedule while FSU's sits at #54. FSU falls under a nice situation here as they are coming off two games where the total went under and they were the favorite. Teams falling into that situation where the current game is a post season game and they are away or on neutral court are 49-14-1 ATS all time. I look for Florida State's defense to have a real impact on a Gonzaga team that looked like it had no will to win in the West Conference Championship.
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By Freddy Wills | March 15, 2010
The first round of the March Madness tournament usually has a few upsets and if you are filling out your bracket you want to concentrate on which teams have a chance at the upset. Traditionally there is always a 12 seed that takes down a 5 seed and a couple of 11’s that take down a 6 and even every once in a while there are some shockers with 14’s taking ... read more
I saw myself going 4-0-1 ATS and picking up a nifty profit of +9.71 in profit on sports picks yesterday including a huge win on the Mavericks against the Lakers.
Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics (+2.5)
It’s about time.
The Cleveland Cavaliers (44-14, 28-29-1 ... read more
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Freddy Wills Release Times
For weekday's you can expect to see my premium picks added between 3-4pm ET for 7pm games. For Free picks check by noon ET!
Freddy Wills Rating System
I believe in strict money management. If you do not have this you are not investing your money you are gambling your money! I personally do not believe in doubling up after a loss or chasing money that was lost. If you follow my strict money management process and rating policy you will succeed. Personally my unit is 1DIME or $1,000. You may see me tell you that I'm up 50 dimes for the week or 50 units.
Rating Policy:
1DIME or 1-unit = Free Plays
2DIMES or 2-unit = Action Bets
3DIMES or 3-unit = Best Bets (Play of the Day, POD)
4DIMES or 4-unit = Top Bets (Play of the Week, POW)
5DIMES or 5-unit = Super Bet (Play of the Month or year)
Freddy Wills Money Management
The Key to success:
The Key to success I believe is to follow a strict set of rules before making a play. Never let your emotions get the best of you and do not deviate from this set of rules. For me I have had continued success under my own strict set of rules.
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