MLB Tuesday OVER 8.5 in Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers @ 6:40 ET - Alex Faedo coming off one of the best starts of his career and he totaled 10 strikeouts in that one which was the first time in his career he ever totaled more than 7 strikeouts. This is giving us some nice value here as the Tigers hurler is a little over-valued in this spot and I like the Rangers to hit him hard. At the same time, we get line value with Martin Perez on the hill for Texas because he has some good overall numbers. One of the keys here is that Perez has a high 4.87 ERA on the road this season and in all his starts this year he has a .294 BAA. He also got hit at a .294 clip in 2021. Looking at his career numbers you also realize that his great 2022 might have been more of a one-off success story than anything else. When you look at his career numbers season by season, Perez has had only two truly solid seasons. He is just one of those guys that has hung around but rarely been strong for a full season. With the way he is struggling on the road this season and the line value we have here, I will not hesitate to step in. Note that the Tigers bullpen BAA is 12th in the AL and the Rangers bullpen ERA is 12th in the AL. Taking action on pitchers as per usual as both bullpens should give some up here too and I like the value of the 8.5 and I like the fact the Tigers had averaged 5.2 runs scored per game last 10 games before being shutout yesterday. Also, the Rangers have averaged 6.5 runs scored per game last 16 games. Warm weather for this one too! OVER 8.5 in Detroit