Ross’ NBA 5* Golden Total
(NBA) Miami vs. Boston, 05/29/2023 8:30 PM, Score: 103 - 84
Total: 204.00 | -100.00 Under
Result: Win
Heat @ Celtics 8:30 PM ET
Game# 509-510
Play On: Under 204.0 (5*)

Boston is coming off a 104-103 win in Game 6 to force a deciding 7th Game. That contest stayed under the total of 210.5. After witnessing the first 3 games of this Eastern Conference Finals going over the total, the last 3 contests have all stayed under. It speaks volumes to me when the sportsbooks make this big of an adjustment to a Game 7 total when the average number in the first 6 games was 213.8.

NBA Playoffs Game 7 home teams have played 41-24 (63%) to the under since 2003. Since 2019, that NBA Game 7 home teams off a Game 6 away win have played 12-3 (80%) to the under and there was a combined 197.4 points scored per game. Furthermore, since 2014, NBA Game 7 home teams coming off a Game 6 away win in which they allowed 100 points or more have played 5-0 to the under with an average combined score of just 186.0 points scored per contest. All the betting angles are applicable to Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Monday night.