The Green Bay Packers took a 37-8 beating at San Francisco in Week 12, but if anything that was a wake-up call for the team. The Packers are undefeated SU and 4-2 ATS in their six games since, including a solid 28-23 win over Seattle in the Divisional Round.

I think this matchup will be a lot closer than the first meeting of the season. While the Niners are a formidable team and a well-deserved favorite, winning by more than a touchdown in the playoffs just ain't easy.

The Packers have a veteran QB in Aaron Rodgers who knows this might be his last chance to win another ring, so he'll be ready to do just about anything to win this game.

Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games. 49ers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS giving more than a touchdown this season.

10* play on Green Bay Packers.

The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a wild 51-31 win over Houston in the divisional round, but I think we'll see a much lower-scoring game when they take on the Tennessee Titans in the AFC Championship Game.

Tennessee's two playoff games have seen just 33 and 40 points respectively, and we can note that the under is 5-2 in the Chiefs' last seven games.

The Titans will rely on running back Derrick Henry to move the ball, and while he's likely to have decent success, it will also drain the clock and keep the ball out of KC QB Patrick Mahomes' hands.

While the Chiefs are capable of explosive plays as seen in last week's shootout, note that the Titans have held their last two opponents to 12 and 13 points, despite facing the Pats and the Ravens!

10* play on UNDER.

Minnesota has dropped six of its last eight games, but it defeated Tampa Bay as a home underdog on Thursday and I like the price we got on the Wild when hosting Dallas on Saturday.

The Stars have lost two of their last three after taking a 4-1 loss as a -200 favorite against Buffalo last time out. The lone win during that stretch came in OT and they're 2-7 in their last 9 games as a road favorite and have lost five of the last seven meetings with the Wild at Xcel Energy Center. Minnesota is solid at home (12-5-4) and should be well up for this home game against a division rival.

8* play on Minnesota Wild.

Only three teams in the NBA have a lower pace factor than the Orlando Magic who average only 100.5 possessions per game while the Golden State Warriors are second to last for offensive efficiency. Last time out, Orlando was held to 95 points on 39 percent shooting from the field in a loss at LA Clippers while Golden State has been held to 104 points or fewer in seven of its last eight games, the lone exception a 134-131 OT loss to Denver on Thursday.

Under is 9-3 in Magic last 12 games as a road favorite. Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games as an underdog and 9-2 in their last 11 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

10* play on UNDER.

The Vegas Golden Knights snapped a four-game losing streak with a 4-2 win at Pittsburgh on Thursday.

Here they'll face a Montreal team that has answered an eight-game skid by winning three of its last four while allowing a total of just six goals during that stretch.

Montreal has come out victorious in four of the last five head-to-head meetings with Vegas and I like the price we get on the Habs in this contest.

Free pick on Montreal Canadiens.

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The Dallas Mavericks have the best offensive efficiency score in the league at 114.4 points per 100 possessions and they're coming off a 127-123 win at Sacramento. Over is 7-2 in Mavericks last 9 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and they'll face a Portland team that scored 117 points in a win at Houston last time out. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings and 14-6 in Mavericks last 20 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, which Portland is at 9-14 away from home.

8* play on OVER.

The Winnipeg Jets have dropped six of their last seven home at Bell MTS Place, but I absolutely love the price we get on the Jets when they host Tampa Bay Friday night.

Note that the Lightning will be playing on no rest (and third game in four nights) after taking a 3-2 loss at Minnesota on Thursday while the Jets have had two full days to recover from a 4-0 triumph over Vancouver.

The home team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings and the underdog is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

10* play on Winnipeg Jets.

The Indiana Pacers are one of the slowest teams in the league at just 100.7 possessions per game. Here they'll take on a Minnesota team that ranks near the bottom of the league for shooting from the field and from three-point range. The teams combined for 203 points in a 104-99 Indiana win at Minnesota a couple of days ago, and I expect this to be another low-scoring affair.

8* play on UNDER.

The Toronto Raptors are coming off a 130-21 win at OKC. The over is 20-7 in their last 27 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and I think they'll be involved in another high-scoring contest when they host the Washington Wizards Friday night. The Wizards are 22-17-1 to the over on the season and 6-2 to the over in their last eight games as a road underdog. They love to push the tempo and Toronto should be confident enough in its scoring ability to not mind a shootout.

10* play on OVER.

The Cincinnati Bearcats and the Memphis Tigers played two close games last season (both Cincy triumph). I think this contest will go down to the wire as well which makes taking the points on the underdog all the more attractive. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four head-to-head meetings and Cincinnati defeated UCF 68-54 on the road last time out. As for Memphis, it took a 65-62 loss as a seven-point favorite over Georgia its last time out at home.

8* play on Cincinnati Bearcats.