Afternoon Run Line POWER-PLAY ~ +$24,829 Last 5+ Months!
Toronto vs. Oakland,
08/01/2018 15:35 EDT,
Score: 3 - 8
Point Spread: +1½/-169 Toronto
8* Run Line Toronto (3:35 ET): Please note that this is a run line play where I'm taking the Blue Jays +1.5. Toronto is on the verge of being swept for a second time by Oakland this season. They lost all four games at home earlier in the year (May) and have gone 0 for 2 here in Oakland this weekend, losing by scores of 10-1 and 6-2. While the A's seem to be surging towards a possible Wild Card, they've definitely overachieved some, as they've got the run differential of a 60-win team (actual reecord is 63-46), although nowhere to the degree that the team they're chasing (Seattle) has. That little bit of overachieving can be directly tied to a fortunate 19-9 record in one-run games. We're "shielded" from that particular result here and though the Jays definitely are the inferior ballclub here, I don't think their YTD record vs. the A's is properly reflective of the difference between the two teams. Getting swept by the same opponent twice is pretty rare. Take the +1.5.
Marcus Stroman starts today for Toronto and should play a significant role in the Jays doing no worse than a one-run loss here. Stroman is off B2B solid starts where he's allowed just three runs in 13+ IP. Granted, those two starts came against the White Sox and Orioles, two of the very worst teams in all of baseball. But save for one head-scratching start against the Mets on the Fourth of July, Stroman has been pretty good overall since returning from the DL back in late June. He's allowed 2 ER or less in five of the seven starts. Something to remember w/ this opponent (Oakland) is that they are strangely inferior at the plate when here at home compared to on the road. For the season, the A's are averaging just 3.9 rpg in Oakland (.227 BA). They lead all of MLB in scoring on the road at 5.5 rpg.
Stroman is the best starter Toronto will send to the mound in this series, so perhaps he's the one that can finally take advantage of the A's hitters not being as prolific here by the Bay. As for Oakland, they counter w/ Sean Manaea, who likes pitching here at home (0.818 WHIP). However, his results haven't been that great as he's just 3-4 in 10 starts (6-4 TSR). Getting back to the Oakland offense, remember that they only scored four runs this past weekend in three games at Coors Field. The A's have actually been outscored here at home this season and w/ the line currently doing some "curious things," I'll side w/ the road team +1.5 here. 8* Run Line Toronto (+1.5)