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Colorado vs. St. Louis,
08/01/2018 20:15 EDT,
Score: 3 - 6
Money Line: -130 St. Louis
10* St. Louis (8:15 ET): Colorado won yday, 6-3, setting up this "rubber match" of sorts Thursday night at Busch Stadium. Truthfully, the Cardinals should feel somewhat fortunate that they're not on the verge of being swept here. On Tuesday, they rallied back from a 4-1 deficit to win in 10 innings. Last night saw them again struggle offensively as they had just one run entering the final frame. Rockies' starting pitching has been shockingly good of late and should be respected away from the constraints of their home park. But their offense isn't much to "sneeze at" on the road as they're averaging just 4.3 rpg outside of Coors Field this season. Lately, they haven't been doing much hitting at all. Before yday, they'd averaged just 2.9 rpg over the last seven contests w/ a .237 team batting average.
Kyle Freeland will start for Colorado tonight. He's got a 5-0 TSR his L5 outings w/ a 2.76 ERA over the last three. But, his WHIP is 1.408 over those L3 starts as well, which indicates he's been anything but dominant. He's walked six batters the last two starts alone and strikeout numbers from Freeland remain pretty pedestrian. Colorado may "rue the day" they chose not to make any additions at the deadline as they've been a pretty clear overachiever to this point (-1 run differential) and it's pretty crazy to think they enter the day tied w/ the Dodgers (+91 run diff) in the NL West. I do not think the Rockies will be able to maintain their current win percentage, if that run differential stays the same over the course of the year.
Luke Weaver will start here for St. Louis, who is desperately trying to remain relevant in the playoff race itself. They enter Thursday 4.5 games back of the Wild Card. Despite having an inferior record compared to Colorado, they do own the slightly superior run differential (+13). They're also 30-22 off a loss. Weaver was very good his last time out, which resulted in a 5-2 win over the Cubs, as he gave up just two runs - both on solo HR's. Three of Weaver's four starts in July were very good as he allowed only five runs in 20 IP. The other was short, and he allowed three runs in four innings, but that was in Wrigley. This is a much weaker offense he'll be facing here, one that had scored four runs or fewer in seven straight games prior to yday. I look for the Cardinals to win this game and series. 10* St. Louis