Thurs Night POWER-BOMB ~ Off Game of the MONTH WINNER!
Saskatchewan vs. Edmonton,
08/02/2018 22:00 EDT,
Score: 19 - 26
Point Spread: +7/-110 Saskatchewan
8* Saskatchewan (10:00 ET): After sweeping a home and home w/ Hamilton (were underdogs in both games), the Rough Riders lost at home to Calgary last week, 34-22 as 7.5-pt dogs. Even though they didn't cover, there's no shame in that result, given that they were up against - easily - the best team in the league. This week finds them smack dab in the middle of a Stampeders' sandwich as they'll again face Calgary in Regina next week. They'll certainly have more time to prepare for that rematch (16 days) than they do here vs. Edmonton as it'll be just four days in between games for the Riders when they take the field Thursday night. Tough as that may sound, the points are plentiful here and the team is 3-1 ATS as a dog TY w/ three outright wins.
Edmonton is 4-2 SU (2-4 ATS) and has a claim to be CFL's second best team. They hammered lowly Montreal last week, 44-23, as 10.5-pt road chalk. That game took place on Thursday, so it's a full week off for the Eskimoes. But after dominating the Als so thoroughly (outgained them 513-303), might this be a bit of a letdown spot for the home team? I certainly think that could be the case. Last week was also just the second time that the Eskimoes covered the spread. Two of their four wins have been by three points or less. While their defense remains one of the league's best, they are allowing a virtually identical number of points per game to Saskatchewan. I'm not sure the offense is prolific enough to make up the difference required to cover the spread.
The Riders are also getting back two key contributors for this game, one on each side of the ball. QB Zach Collaros is expected to make his season debut Thursday night and that obviously makes the offense a whole lot more dynamic. Originally, Collaros wasn't going to return to Week 10, so this early return is a key bonus. He's the bigger of the two returns, but DB Nick Marshall should definitely help on the other side of the ball as well. Plus, Marshall being back means Duron Carter is back to being a slot receiver. While the number of PPG allowed are nearly identical from the two defenses here, Saskatchewan allows fewer YPG and I believe will have the edge at the LOS. They like to the run the ball on offense and can exploit a poor Edmonton run defense. In a divisional matchup like this, my view is that a spread like this is simply too high. Edmonton is just 7-15 ATS its L22 home games while Saskatchewan is 8-2 SU/ATS following a loss. 8* Saskatchewan