Cincinnati vs. Washington,
08/02/2018 19:05 EDT,
Score: 4 - 10
Total: -115/+7½ Over
Reds RH Tyler Mahle (7-8, 4.53 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Max Scherzer (15-4, 2.30)
Mahle the Reds starter is in a funk right now and is 0-2 his last three trips to the hill while permitting 16 runs on 20 hits , including five homers . His ERA in his L/3 overall starts is a ugly 14.00 , along with a nasty looking 2.889 WHIP. The way Mahle is pitching, and the way the Nats are hitting having scored 30 runs in their L/2 games, I won't be surprised if the Nats eclipse this number all by themselves. Meanwhile, Scherzer the Nats ace, is in top form at the moment, but despite of winning his L/3 games, has still seen each game go over the number, as his team continually backs him with run support, something that I'm betting happens again today. Note: SCHERZER is 9-1 OVER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average score of 10.9 rpg scored.
Over is 8-0 in Reds last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 9-1 in Reds last 10 road games.Over is 9-1-1 in Reds last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-1-1 in Mahles last 6 starts overall.Over is 4-1-1 in Mahles last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 home games.Over is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 starts overall.Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.Over is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings.
The Reds are 21-1 OU as a 170+ dog after a game in which they used 5+ pitchers.The only game in the L/21 that finished under was their last game, where a total of 7 runs were scored. Previous to that tilt no game had seen less than 9 runs scored. The average combined score of the 21 games clicks in at 13.38 rpg.