Power Sports' REVENGE ROUT ~ +$25,349 Last 5 Months!
San Francisco vs. Arizona,
08/02/2018 21:40 EDT,
Score: 8 - 1
Money Line: -157 Arizona
8* Arizona (9:40 ET): This will be the second time in three starts that Madison Bumgarner checks in as the underdog. I cautioned about being tempted to play him the last time and, in fact, played AGAINST he and the Giants in the spot. This was 7/21 in Oakland and sure enough the A's prevailed 4-3 w/ MadBum lasting only four innings and issuing a season-high six walks. Now is that performance indicative of what kind of pitcher he truly is? Hardly. Last time out, he bounced back w/ a gem of an effort at home vs. Milwaukee. But, Bumgarner is still winless on the road this season (0-4 TSR) w/ a 5.06 ERA and 1.594 WHIP. Here, not only does he have a sub-.500 career record vs. Arizona, but he'll be up against Zack Greinke, who is lights out at Chase Field.
I also happen to think the Giants are a bit overrated coming in off three consecutive victories. Two of those were against San Diego, who is obviously terrible. You already had the fact that the team is playing "above its head," given that they are a game above .500, but have actually been outscored by 28 runs over the course of the season. Also, Arizona has revenge. They were actually swept by the Giants here at home just a little over a month ago. My view is that it's highly unlikely for San Francisco to turn the same "trick" twice. They aren't even a very good road team (23-32 record) as they're being outscored by nearly a full run per game in such contests. Arizona might only be 28-26 at Chase Field this season (surprising given they are in first place), but they have a run differential here than indicates that they've played better than that record.
Both teams had Wednesday off. The D'backs are 10-2 in this role while the Giants are 7-4. Both are sending aces to the bump tonight. While Bumgarner has mostly been good, I already mentioned his failure to win even a single decision on the road this season. On the other hand, Greinke has a 2.39 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 11 home starts this season (5-1 WL record). He's been just plain filthy of late, posting a 0.79 ERA and 0.573 WHIP his L3 starts, all of which have resulted in team victories. Over his L7 starts, Greinke has a 1.16 ERA and 0.836 WHIP w/ the team going 6-1. With revenge and Greinke far more "affordable" than usual, I'm all over the home team in this one. 8* Arizona