Cincinnati vs. Washington,
08/03/2018 19:05 EDT,
Score: 0 - 0
Total: +102/+9½ Under
Reds RH Anthony DeSclafani (4-3, 5.47 ERA) vs. Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (6-7, 3.78)
Gonzalez has pitched his best baseball at home this season, where he has garnered a 3.09 ERA . The southpaw is coming off his best effort during in a while this past Saturday when he limited Miami to one run and three hits in a no-decision. Gonzalez has been a streaky pitcher on career and I expect he picks up where he left of last time out.
GONZALEZ is 10-2 UNDER with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) this season. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 6 rpg going on the board.
Under is 4-0 in Gonzalezs last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts overall.Under is 4-0 in Gonzalezs last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 15-3 in Gonzalezs last 18 starts on grass.Under is 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Under is 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.Under is 4-1 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 14-4-1 in Gonzalezs last 19 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 6-2 in Gonzalezs last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Meanwhile, DeSclafani, has struggle of late but is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA in six career appearances (three starts) against Washington and according to my power rankings matches up well vs the Nats 9 and should once against provide his side with stability vs this group. In three career starts vs the Nats he has seen all three stay under with a combined average of 5.3 rpg scored in those tilts.
Under is 8-3-1 in DeSclafanis last 12 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
WASHINGTON is 32-19 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 8 rpg scored. WASHINGTON is 32-19 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 8 rpg scored.
Under is 6-2 in Nationals last 8 vs. National League Central.Under is 24-8 in Nationals last 32 during game 2 of a series.Under is 19-7 in Nationals last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 43-18-3 in Nationals last 64 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 3-0-1 in umpire Gonzalezs last 4 starts with Gonzalez behind home plate.
.The Nationals have gone under 11 of the L/12 times as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they hit more home runs than their opponent and it is post All-Star break with none of the game seeing more than 8 runs scored , with the average combined score clicking in at 5.75 rpg.