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New England vs. LA Rams, 02/03/2019 18:30 EDT, Score: 13 - 3

Point Spread: -2½/-106 New England

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

Take New England.
Game 101.
3:30 pm pst.

In a matchup that puts together a storied, seasoned, dynasty against the hottest and youngest HC and team in years, many expect a great contest. Both offenses have showed that they can put points on just about anyone. But, on this platform, post-season experience, and moreover, Super Bowl experience plays a huge part. Tom Brady has passed for 2,576 yards with 18 TD's and just five INT's in his eight Super Bowls. Yes, at 41, he is the oldest QB to ever start the Super Bowl. But, the last two years, Tom Terrific has diced up Philadelphia and Atlanta for 971 yards in the February contest and has amassed 15 post-season outings with 300 or more yards passing. The future Hall of Famer stands behind a stout OL, has Sony Michel (931 YR, 6 TD's) and dual-threat RB, James White (425 YR, 5 TD's) in the backfield. White is the NFL's top-catching RB. Gronkowski and Edelman are proven, sure-handed, receivers. Speedster, Chris Hogan is a deep threat. And when you need a PAT or FG, Gostkowski is as good as it gets. Jared Goff had an outstanding season. However, he is just in his third year as a pro and has never been in such a high-pressure situation. He will once again be missing his "go-to" guy in WR, Cooper Kupp, who went down with a knee injury late November, resulting in Goff accounting for just six TDP's over the last seven games. Todd Gurley, also had a great season, but we still don't know if he is back at 100%. This offense had problems running the ball against the Saints two weeks ago. Defensively, the Rams front-seven is very good most of the time, but there are times when they are very erratic, springing leaks. The Patriots defense has turned it up when they needed to and has gotten better as the season progressed. This game will come down to a few key things... First, which Head Coach will prepare his team better and outsmart his counterpart. Next, who can establish the run. Both have solid running attacks but Sony Michel has the momentum and the New England "D" is stronger vs. the rush. Lastly, mistakes. Whoever commits less penalties and doesn't turn the ball over, will prevail. In my opinion, to win the Super Bowl, you must have a seasoned HC, and a veteran QB. After losing last year's Super Bowl to a one-hit wonder, expect the "Bill and Tom" show to leave no doubt about their legacy. Taker the Patriots. Thank you.

Below are some prop bets I feel have value:
Longest FG of Game 47.5 Yards-OVER -110.
Shortest FG of Game 26.5 Yards-UNDER -110.
Will the Patriots Score a TD in 1st Qtr-YES -110.
Total Gross Passing Yards by Brady-282.5-OVER -110.
Total Rushing Yards by Brady 1.5 yards-OVER +130.
Longest Rush by Brady 2.5 Yards-OVER +140.
Total TD Passes by Brady 2-OVER -110.
Total TD Passes by Brady 2.5-OVER +170.
Total Rushing Yards by Michel 76.5-OVER -110.
Total Rushing Attempts by Michel 17.5-OVER -110.
Total Receptions by White 4.5-OVER -150.
Total Receptions by Gronkowski 3.5-OVER -110.
Will Gronkowski Score a TD-YES +170.
Total First Downs by Patriots 23.5-OVER -110.
Will Goff Throw a 3rd Qtr TD Pass-YES +140.
Will Goff Throw a 4th QTR TD Pass-YES -120.
Total Receptions by Gurley 3.5-OVER -110.
Total 3rd Down Conversions by Rams 5.5 OVER EVEN.

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