st bon under
Davidson vs. St. Bonaventure,
02/01/2019 19:00 EDT,
Score: 75 - 66
Total: -114/+130½ Under
*4 Star Play Under* The Davidson Wildcats are a completely different team than they were a year ago. Davidson ranked 16th in the nation in offensive efficiency last year. They rank 144th this year. Davidson was only 120th in defensive efficiency last year, but they are 61st this year.
Davidson was averaging 1.167 points per possession on offense last year in A10 play. They average 1.00 points per possession in the A10 this year. On defense, they allowed 0.999 points per possession last year, but they are allowing only 0.911 points per possession in A10 play this year.
Davidson hasn't had a single game in league play finish with more than 137 points. They have had 5 of the 7 finish at 126 points or lower. That includes games against fast paced VCU and Duquesne.
St. Bonaventure plays much slower this year. The Bonnies no longer have two stars in Adams and Mobley. They are trying to win with defense this year. The Bonnies ranked 104th fastest in tempo last year in the country. They are 326th this year. They are slowing down a lot more of late also. Their average possessions per game is 64.8 for the year, but 6 of their last 7 games have played to a pace of 62.8 possessions or slower.
This number has pushed up too far. I expect a tight low scoring game.
Take the under.