*10* TOTAL POWER (on FS-1) ~ SWEET 8-1 Run w/ 10* Hoops! 2-0 L/Night!
Maryland vs. Wisconsin,
02/01/2019 21:00 EDT,
Score: 61 - 69
Total: -115/+130 Over
10* Over Maryland/Wisconsin (9:00 ET): Wisconsin's season has really taken a turn for the better since I played them on 1.19 when they upset (then undefeated) Michigan. The Badgers enter tonight's game w/ Maryland on a four-game SU and ATS win streak. They are one of five Big 10 teams that are ranked and one of 10 that are likely NCAA Tournament bound. But then again, so too is tonight's opponent, Maryland. After going 0-2 last week, the Terrapins rebounded with a 70-52 win over Northwestern on Tuesday. With both teams coming into Friday riding their own Under streaks, my focus here is going to be on the total and I'm looking for this one to go Over.
Wisconsin's last five games have all stayed Under the total. This is due in no small part to the defense that they are playing. Over those L5 games, the Badgers have held opponents to 55.0 PPG on 33.6% shooting. That's "Virginia territory" there, folks. Wisconsin is now a top five team nationally in defensive efficiency after holding its last two opponents, Northwestern & Nebraska, both under 30% shooting. Impressive as these numbers are, they're probably also unsustainable. At the same time, the Badgers should start to improve offensively after averaging only 64.0 pts those same last five games. In Madison, they are averaging 77.2 PPG this year on 49.4% shooting (including 41.4% from 3-pt range).
The last time Wisconsin lost was 1.14 at Maryland. They shot 38.3% from the field. They also held the Terps to 34.0% shooting. Both teams should shoot better in tonight's rematch. Maryland is also coming off a stellar defensive effort, having just held N'western to 52 points on 31.0% shooting. That probably won't be happening again tonight. In its previous game, the Terps gave up 78 pts to Illinois (at MSG). The Under is 4-0-1 in Maryland's last five games, but there is value here on the Over as the number opened low. Wisconsin only made three free throws in that first meeting w/ Maryland and that number will go WAY up tonight. 10* Over Maryland/Wisconsin