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Kentucky vs. Tennessee, 03/02/2019 14:00 EDT, Score: 52 - 71

Total: -115/+142 Under

Sportsbook: Betonline

Result: Win

10* Under Kentucky/Tennessee (2:00 ET): I was on UK in the 1st meeting, which was definitely a "statement game" by the Wildcats, who ended up winning 86-69 as four-point home favorites. They haven't lost since and, in fact, are 13-1 their last 14 games (only loss coming to LSU on a last-second tip-in). Coach Cal's team is definitely rounding into "Final Four form," but today they've got to go to Knoxville where Tennessee has not lost all season. After starting the year 23-1 SU, the Vols have lost two of their last four games. This should be a low-scoring struggle as I'm on the Under.

The first game saw Kentucky shoot a blistering 54% from the field en route to 86 points. That was NOT the most points allowed by Tennessee in any game all season as Kansas scored 87 against them early in the year (a loss) as did Arkansas (a win). Memphis even scored 92 on them in another game the Vols won. So they've definitely had their share of high-scoring games. But at home, they are giving up only 60.9 PPG. So look for a rather dramatic decrease in Kentucky scoring today (compared to the 1st matchup). Tennessee opponents are shooting below 40% for the year.

Kentucky is an excellent defensive team. They rank top 10 nationally in efficiency and they are holding SEC opponents to just 38.7% shooting. Ten of their last eleven games have gone Under, the game vs. Tennessee being the lone exception. The Under had been 13-4-2 the past 19 meetings. Tennessee is also 18-8 Under following an ATS loss. Both teams struggled in victories earlier this week, having to overcome halftime deficits. In those last 11 games, UK has not allowed more than 72 points. 10* Under Kentucky/Tennessee

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