Michigan State vs. Indiana,
03/02/2019 12:00 EDT,
Score: 62 - 63
Point Spread: -5½/-105 Michigan State
The set-up: It’s payback time. The Hoosiers won the reverse fixture 79-75 earlier in the year and I think that the visitors avenge that setback. The Spartans come to town off a 77-70 road win over Michigan to improve to 14-3 in league play. Indiana is just 5-12 in the Big Ten, but it looks poised for a predictable letdown here in my opinion after its 75-73 OT win at home over Wisconsin at home last time out. Overall MSU averages 80.1 PPG and it allows 65.8. The Hoosiers average 70.4 PPG and they concede 67.2.
The pick: Take it for what you will as well though, but Indiana is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven at home, while MSU is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 following a SU win and 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Lay the points, expect a beatdown.