Toronto vs. Calgary,
03/04/2019 21:00 EDT,
Score: 6 - 2
Total: +113/+6½ Under
Two top tier teams the Leafs and the Flames go head to head here in a game that I have pegged to stay under the slightly bloated Total. Both teams offensive numbers warrant this high a Totals number based on statistical data alone, but at this time of year as the play offs approach, physical defensive hockey is the norm amongst team headed to the post season. Calgary took out Toronto 3-1 the last time these teams played back in October of this season and a even more stringent type of hockey I'm betting is on tonights agenda.
TORONTO is 5-0 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game this season.
TORONTO is 9-3 UNDER in road games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite this season.
NHL team against the total (TORONTO) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, poor defensive team - allowing 2.85+ goals/game on the season - 2nd half of the season are 177-122 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.