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Kansas State vs. TCU,
03/04/2019 21:00 EDT,
Score: 64 - 52
Total: -115/+132½ Over
8* Over Kansas State/TCU (9:00 ET): Few would have expected Kansas State to be in the position that they're currently in after they got off to an 0-2 start in Big 12 play. But, buoyed by one of the nation's top defensive efficiency ratings, the Wildcats have won 12 of their last 14 conference games and enter the final week of the regular season w/ a chance to win the outright conference title. If they win the next two games, they'll do no worse than share the honor w/ Texas Tech. But to do that, they'll certainly have to play better than they did last week when they went 0-2 ATS vs. Kansas and Baylor.
TCU is a team that had high hopes coming into 2018-19. But I didn't really view them as a Top 25 squad and they were a fade for me in the early part of the season. Tonight is the Horned Frogs' final home game and they've lost five of their last six. They too have not had a great last seven days. After losing 104-96 to West Virginia (triple overtime game), they had little left in the tank for a very good Texas Tech team, who beat them 81-64. The Horned Frogs allowed nearly 57% shooting in that loss, which took place right here in Ft. Worth.
More often that not, Kansas State holds its opponents under its season scoring average. They certainly did that to TCU in the first meeting, winning 65-55 in Manhattan. The Horned Frogs average over 75 PPG for the season and the Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games. Kansas State, as good as they are defensively, is 6-3 Over its last nine games. Two of the three Unders came last week. It was a dismal offensive showing at home vs. Kansas and then a slow start in a win (but non-cover) over Baylor. Even though this game is on the road, I expect better offense here from the Wildcats. Dean Wade is back and looking healthy. He scored 20 points vs. Baylor. The Under is 4-0 in the L4 meetings w/ TCU, but I anticipate a much more high scoring game than the last one here tonight. 8* Over Kansas State/TCU