Nevada vs. Air Force,
03/05/2019 23:00 EDT,
Score: 90 - 79
Point Spread: +14/-111 Air Force
*3 Star Play on Air Force* The Nevada Wolf Pack have had a lot of close games against lesser opponents this year. Nevada is coming off a highly emotional loss against Utah State. Do they want to get back on track and win here? Of course. Still, I don't see this as a kill spot for Nevada for a couple key reasons.
The first primary reason I don't see this as a good spot for Nevada is they know that blowing out Air Force isn't going to change any minds about them. They need to beat someone better on the road. Second, Air Force is a tough place to play. It's at altitude and there is a pretty good crowd for a national television game like this one.
Air Force led Nevada for much of the game at Nevada earlier this year. The Falcons use a lot of cuts on offense, and Nevada's weakness on defense has been defending those cuts. The Falcons will do their best to slow this game down and keep it close.
I think Nevada wins here, but I think this is too many points given the situation. Air Force should be highly motivated in this spot.
Take Air Force.