Florida International vs. Marshall,
03/06/2019 19:00 EDT,
Score: 78 - 94
Total: -105/+177½ Over
*3 Star Play Over* I'll start this off by saying I don't generally like playing extremely high overs, but this one shows enough value that I have to take it. My numbers show this game in the 183-183.5 range.
FIU went to Marshall earlier this year and lost 105-97. There were a whopping 88 possessions in that game.
When it comes to average possession length on offense, FIU is the fastest paced team in the nation. Marshall ranks 4th. That is out of 353 teams.
This game is the second to last game for these teams and the end of the season often brings wide open and fast paced games from mediocre teams. I see no reason to expect anything other than an extremely quick tempo here.
Marshall's offense has been much better at home this year. They have also been hitting their stride of late. Marshall has averaged 1.20 points per possession or higher in three straight contests. The Thundering Herd have allowed 1.10 points per possession or higher in 5 of their last 6 games.
Both teams rank in the bottom 15 in the country in defensive rebounding so extra chances should be had here by both offenses. Both teams also foul a lot.
A very high scoring contest.
Take the over.