LATE NIGHT SHOWDOWN >> BIG PLAY << (HUGE 30-18 +$7.5K ON THE MONTH!
San Diego vs. Arizona,
04/13/2019 20:10 EDT,
Score: 5 - 4
Money Line: -105 Arizona
The set-up: Arizona enters having lost three straight after last night’s 2-1 loss to the Friars, but I think this line could easily be a lot larger because of what I feel to be a much bigger mismatch on the mound than what this price is trying to lead us to believe.
The pitchers: The visitors hand the ball to the volatile Matt Strahm (0-2, 7.04 ERA), who gave up five runs off eight hits over 2 2/3-s innings in a loss to Arizona on April 1st. Note that he’s 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in seven career appearances vs. the Diamondbacks.
The home side goes with Merrill Kelly (1-1, 2.57) who gave up five hits and three runs over six innings in a win over the Padres on April 1st. Kelly comes in off a hard-luck 1-0 loss to Boston, going eight innings and allowing four hits and one run while striking out nine and walking none.
The pick: All things considered, I believe this line could/should easily be much larger. Play on the desperate home side.