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Earliest Cash Total MLB 8*

Earliest Cash Total MLB 8*

NY Yankees vs. NY Mets, 07/02/2019 19:10 EDT, Score: 2 - 4

Total: -110/+8½ Over

Sportsbook: Bookmaker

Result: Loss

Earliest Cash Total - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #925 Tuesday 8* OVER the total in New York Mets vs New York Yankees @ 7:10 ET - Very rarely do you see this much early movement on a total and I am happy to go contrarian here and take advantage of the incredible added value. The very first number that popped up on this game when lines came out yesterday afternoon was a 10. Now, as of early Tuesday morning, the line has dropped all the way down to as low as an 8.5 in some spots. This is incredible value for a number of key reasons. One is that, believe it or not, the Mets rank among the top hitting teams in the majors against left-handed pitching this season. The Mets are hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .350 and a slugging percentage of .476 against southpaws on the season! They'll be ready to tee off against lefty James Paxton of the Yankees. Paxton got crushed by the Mets three weeks ago and you can't really call it a fluke because the left-hander has a 6.08 ERA in his 6 starts since returning from the injury list in late May. As for Mets starter Zack Wheeler, struggles against the lineup he faces today are also quite likely. The right-hander got crushed by the Yanks earlier this season at Yankee Stadium. This is nothing new as Wheeler has a 10.00 ERA in his career against the Yankees. Part of the reason for the line move is the notion that the Yankees could be flat and tired after their big series in London against the rival Red Sox. I will blow holes right through both of those absurd theories. Yes the Red Sox are the biggest rival of the Yanks but they don't take the Subway Series lightly either. After all, this is the battle for New York head to head supremacy and, as such, it carries some extra meaning. As far as being tired, the Yankees game Sunday was an EARLY game that started at 10 AM ET because it started at 3 PM local time in London. Yes the Yankees then had a long flight back to New York after that game but they GAINED 5 hours on the clock coming back AND they had an OFF day yesterday. The Yankees will absolutely be ready here WITHOUT jet lag as they came from east to west which is so much easier than going the other way. Also note that the Mets bullpen is absolutely one of the worst in the majors. Even if Wheeler has a decent start (which would be a surprise) bullpen implosions have been frequent with this Mets bunch. This one is a helluva bargain at 8.5 runs. I expect the total may go back up as the day goes on but this one, regardless, should see double digits in runs scored. 8* OVER the total in New York Mets


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