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Chi Cubs vs. Pittsburgh, 07/02/2019 19:05 EDT, Score: 1 - 5

Money Line: -130 Chi Cubs

Sportsbook: Betonline

Result: Loss

8* Chi Cubs (7:05 ET): I'll roll w/ the Cubs again tonight, even though they lost for me (in humiliating fashion) last night. The fact they lost to Pittsburgh is one thing, but losing 18-5 was something completely unforseen. The Piraters have had some big wins lately. They've scored 10+ runs in four of their last eight games, three of those seeing them win by 10+ runs. But the other four games in that stretch have seen them score a grand total of six runs. Last night was both the Bucs' biggest win and Cubs' worst loss of the season (in terms of margin). I expect a big bounce back from the Cubs here.

Now admittedly, there are some troubling signs for the Cubs right now. They are just 16-24 away from Wrigley this season, including 4-13 their L17. They've dropped 7 of 11 overall and are 2-5 their L7 games. But tonight's starting pitching matchup is decidedly in their favor. Kyle Hendricks returns from a stint on the DL for the Cubs and hoping to resume his winning ways. Before going on the DL, Hendricks had gone 6-1 over his L9 starts w/ a 2.57 ERA. He reportedly looked so good in his bullpen sessions that no rehab assignment (down at Triple-A) was needed. I'm sure he remembers LY's results vs. Pittsburgh where he went 0-3 despite a 2.81 ERA (poor run support each time).

I expect better run support this time around against Joe Musgrove, who I've successfully faded many times this season. Now the Pirates' starter is off B2B quality outings, including six shutout innings against the Astros last week. But he also allowed nine hits in those six innings and got plenty of run support. I've said it before and I'll say it again. The Pirates should feel fortunate to be hovering close to .500. Even w/ some of the recent blowout victories, they've still been outscored by 43 runs over the course of the season, not what you'd expect from a 40-43 team. Despite falling out of first place in the Central, the Cubs still have the National League's 2nd best YTD run differential. 8* Chi Cubs

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