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Miami vs. Washington,
07/03/2019 18:05 EDT,
Score: 1 - 3
Total: -126/+9 Over
8* Over Marlins/Nationals (6:05 ET): Washington took Tuesday's series opener, 3-2, and is a huge favorite tonight w/ Stephen Strasburg on the hill. Early on last night, it appeared as if we might be headed for a high-scoring game as it was 2-1 Nats at the end of the 1st. But they wouldn't score again until the bottom of the ninth when Trea Turner's double to center won them the ballgame. I like them to do a lot more damage at the plate tonight though and it's not like Strasburg has been that sharp of late either (6.50 ERA L3 starts). This one has Over written all over it!
The Nationals have started to surge, which I expected, considering my projection for them before the season got underway. Despite losing Bryce Harper in the offeseason (overrated), this is a club I figured would improve in the standings. Thanks to the bullpen and injuries, it was a very disappointing first three months, but the Nats have now won six of seven overall. Taking full advantage of getting all these games against Miami is something they have to do and after yday, they're now 8-3 head to head this season. That includes four wins in the last seven days alone (swept them last week).
In that last series, the Nats hit Sandy Alcantara hard, scoring six times off him in six innings. It was the most runs allowed by Alcantara in 2 1/2 months. His 1.601 WHIP on the road signals to me we may be getting a repeat of that ugly outing here. So too does a 9.00 ERA in four career starts vs. Washington. Strasburg is starting opposite Alcantara for a second straight time and he didn't exactly pitch great that day either, giving up 4 ER in 7 IP. Though Strasburg has had Miami's number throughout his career, the Marlins had been hitting better of late (before last night). The Over is 38-14-2 in Strasburg's last 54 starts at home. Don't forget about the hideous Washington bullpen either. 8* Over Marlins/Nationals