Power Sports *10* DIVISION GAME OF THE MONTH ~ Won IL Total of the Month L/Night!
Milwaukee vs. Cincinnati,
07/03/2019 19:10 EDT,
Score: 0 - 3
Money Line: -131 Cincinnati
10* Cincinnati (7:10 ET): With a come from behind victory last night, the Reds are well positioned to make it two in a row over the Brew Crew. Some of the "wind" was definitely taken out of Milwaukee's "sail" last night as they saw a 4-2 lead dissipate and turn into a 5-4 loss (in 11 innings, no less). Though in first place, it's not as if the Brewers have been a dominant team. They've actually been outscored over the course of the year! Meanwhile, last place Cincinnati has a YTD run differential of +38, not only 2nd best in the division, but also 5th best in the entire NL! I like the Reds at home tonight.
The Reds have won each of the L4 starts made by Sonny Gray, who toes the rubber tonight at Great American Ballpark. Gray isn't exactly having a great year, but there's been only one start where he's allowed more than 3 ER. Now that was two starts ago, at Milwaukee. But Gray "got away with it" (Reds still won 11-7) and he should pitch better at home, tonight. Gray has a 2.76 ERA in his three previous starts vs. Milwaukee and that includes a season-high 9 K's (in 6 IP) in a win back in May. Again, the Brewers are a pretty average team. They've hit a collective .214 over the previous week.
Jhoulys Chacin will oppose Gray tonight and things tend to NOT go Chacin's way when pitching away from home. He has a 1-7 team start record to go along w/ a 6.94 ERA and 1.707 WHIP. The last time he faced Cincinnati, Chacin gave up 5 runs in 4 2/3 innings. That was at home too. He was pretty fortunate to escape w/ a no-decision that day (Brewers won 6-5), but I don't see him being as lucky tonight. Did you know that the Reds have allowed the fewest # of runs in the entire National League? They've allowed 50 fewer than all but one team (the Dodgers)! 10* Cincinnati