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Interleague O/U POWER-BOMB ~ Won Top IL Total Last Night!

Interleague O/U POWER-BOMB ~ Won Top IL Total Last Night!

St. Louis vs. Seattle, 07/03/2019 22:10 EDT, Score: 5 - 2

Total: -120/+9 Over

Sportsbook: Bookmaker

Result: Loss

8* Over Cardinals/Mariners (10:10 ET): Thanks to a pinch hit HR from Tim Beckham in the home half of the eighth, Seattle beat St. Louis last night by a score of 5-4. While I've been very vocal in the past that the Mariners' early season offensive numbers were unsustainable (and turns out I was right), the fact is they've also allowed the most runs in all of baseball. So it's no shock to see them leading the league in Overs w/ a 57-26-6 mark in that direction (last night's game was a push). Of course, the St. Louis lineup is theoretically stronger here w/ the addition of a DH. Go w/ the Over tonight.

Since starting the season 13-2, the M's have gone 25-49 overall. Not a shock to me as I had them as of the top regression teams for 2019. LY's 89-win season was a total mirage as that group was actually outscored by 34 runs! As alluded to earlier, this year's club gives up way too many runs (6.4 per game at home!) and tonight's starter Mike Leake has certainly made his contributions to that ugly number. In just his L2 starts, Leake has surrendered 12 runs and 19 hits, lasting only 11 1/3 innings. Despite tailing off from that ridiculous start to the season, the M's offense still averages 5.2 rpg, which is top eight in all of MLB.

Now a game below .500 on the year, the Cardinals have been the picture of mediocrity over the last month. But they've only been two games below .500 one time and that was May 29th. That doesn't guarantee they'll win today, but I expect them to be more explosive offensively against former teammate Leake. The Over is 5-0-1 in the Cardinals' last six road games vs. a right-handed starter. Again, they have a DH and not the pitcher coming up to bat in this series. As for their own starter, Adam Wainwright isn't what he used to be as evident by a poor 6.31 ERA and 1.514 WHIP in seven road starts. 8* Over Cardinals/Mariners

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