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Cleveland vs. Kansas City, 07/03/2019 20:15 EDT, Score: 4 - 0

Total: -110/+9 Over

Sportsbook: Bookmaker

Result: Loss


Clevinger the Tribes starter knows he has to play catch-up after missing two months of the season with an upper back strain. In his last start (his first since being reactivated off the IL from a left ankle sprain), he allowed a career-high seven runs in 1 2/3 innings and im betting he is still not 100% and susceptible to being lit up.Over is 6-0 in Clevingers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

Meanwhile, Danny Duffy gave up three runs over 6 2/3 innings in a loss to the Blue Jays on Friday. He allowed a game-tying two-run shot to Lourdes Gurriel in the sixth before Eric Sogard slugged a go-ahead solo blast in the seventh. It was obviously a disappointing way to end it. Duffy fanned eight and walked just one in taking the loss. He remains winless since way back on May 19 and does matchup well vs the Tribe according to my pitcher vs batting order power rnakings.

Over is 11-3 in Duffys last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.Over is 7-2-1 in Duffys last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 6-2 in Duffys last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Over is 11-4 in Duffys last 15 Wednesday starts.Over is 10-4-1 in Duffys last 15 starts during game 2 of a series.Over is 7-3-1 in Duffys last 11 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 9-4 in Duffys last 13 home starts.

. CLEVELAND is 25-12 OVER after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 7.00 or worse over the last 2 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 21-11 OVER with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season.


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