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Cleveland vs. Kansas City, 07/04/2019 13:15 EDT, Score: 8 - 4

Point Spread: +1½/-136 Kansas City

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Loss

I'm playing KC on the run-line. (+1.5 runs) The Royals, who lost 4-0 yesterday, have struggled of late. However, I expect them to bounce back with a big effort this afternoon. When Bailey faced the Indians earlier this season, he allowed just two hits through seven shutout innings, winning 3-0. He's allowed three or fewer earned runs in six of his last eight against Cleveland. Note that two of those resulted in 1-run losses. While Bailey ran into some trouble in the 5th inning last time out, he was pretty sharp before that. Also, in three starts leading up to that game, he'd allowed just one run in his previous 19 innings. Plesac goes for the Indians and he got rocked last time out. In four innings, he allowed seven runs. The Indians lost 13-0. Playing in front of the holiday crowd, expect AT LEAST a 'run-line cover' for the home team.

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