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Miami vs. Atlanta, 07/06/2019 16:10 EDT, Score: 5 - 4

Total: +105/+9 Under

Sportsbook: Betonline

Result: Push

8* Under Marlins/Braves (4:10 ET): Given how yday's game played out (Braves won 1-0), I wouldn't go expecting many runs to be scored here. I was willing to roll with Miami (at +1.5) last night as they had the unbeaten Jordan Yamamoto on the hill. My thought is that Yamamoto could certainly mitigate the damage the Braves would do offensively and he did, keeping them off the scoreboard entirely and allowing just two hits in six innings. The game's only run came in the 9th inning, after a long rain delay. Miami remains the lowest scoring team in the National League. Take the Under.

Atlanta pitching should again have its way w/ Miami hitting today as Max Fried gets the baseball. Fried faced the Marlins one other time this season, last month, and held them to three runs in six innings. Fried has been a much better pitcher at home (supported by the numbers) and Miami simply has been unable to produce much offense in these games vs. Atlanta no matter where they take place. They're 1-9 head to head this year, getting shutout three times and scoring more than two runs just three times. So expect Fried to hold up his end of the bargain.

Assuming Fried does hold up his end of the bargain, then this game shouldn't see the bottom of the 9th. Not like it mattered yesterday when it did, but avoiding those final three outs can be huge when playing the Under. The Braves are huge favorites here for a reason, but Miami's Caleb Smith can hopefully turn in a start resembling what we saw from Yamamoto yesterday. Smith is making his first start in a month here after battling hip inflammation, but held Atlanta to just three runs in six innings earlier this year. Everything points to a low-scoring game here. 8* Under Marlins/Braves

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