**EARLY** POWER-HOUR TOTAL ~ PERFECT 5-0 w/ Totals L3 Days!
Cleveland vs. Cincinnati,
07/07/2019 13:10 EDT,
Score: 11 - 1
Total: -118/+9½ Under
8* Under Indians/Reds (1:10 ET): All things considered, it's been a pretty frustrating first half for the Reds. While they're only 4.5 games out of first place in the (very) crowded NL Central, the fact is their WL record "should" be better as they've actually outscored opponents by 37 runs due to having allowed the fewest # of runs in the entire Senior Circuit. You'd think that would serve them well in a battle w/ an American League team that often struggles to score runs and is w/o its DH. But Cleveland won here yday, 7-2. I'm going with the Under on Sunday as this should be a lower-scoring game.
While facing a 6.5-game deficit in the AL Central is NOT what the Indians expected coming into the year, the first half can't be viewed as all that disappointing given the injuries that were sustained and the lack of hitting. I say that because they're still 11 games over .500 and on a five-game win streak entering Sunday. They've allowed the third fewest number of runs in the American League and send Trevor Bauer to the mound today. Bauer hasn't been as good as he was last season, but he rarely has B2B poor outings and last time out he gave up 5 ER in a game Cleveland still won. He actually has a much lower ERA on the road than at home this year.
The Reds had posted B2B shutouts prior to yday's loss. This has been an Under team all the way this season w/ a 53-29-4 mark in that direction. That's by far and away the most Unders of any team in baseball. (Cleveland is #3). Tyler Mahle starts here for the Reds and the Under is 11-4-1 in his 16 starts. Mahle has allowed six or less hits in 10 of his last 11 starts. Again, the Indians are not a high-scoring bunch. The only AL teams averaging fewer runs per game are: Baltimore, Chicago, KC and Detroit. Not having a DH here makes the lineup even weaker. 8* Under Indians/Reds