Sunday POWER-SMASH ~ SICK 19-7 RUN!
Chi Cubs vs. Chi White Sox,
07/07/2019 14:10 EDT,
Score: 1 - 3
Money Line: -179 Chi Cubs
8* Chi Cubs (2:10 ET): I took the Cubs yday as my biggest play of the 1st half of the MLB season and they delivered just as expected, beating the White Sox 6-3. The only reason we were able to get such a great price on the North Side contingent was due to the presence of Lucas Giolito on the mound for the White Sox. Having now beaten him, the Cubbies will have a far easier time today going against Ivan Nova, who has been very poor at home this season. A lot of the rationale for playing the Cubs Sunday will be similar to yday, only this time we're going against a much weaker starting pitcher!
As noted in yday's analysis, I am incredibly bearish on the White Sox moving forward. While it's surprising to see them within three games of .500, the fact is that they've been outscored this season by 73 runs. There's a big difference between their actual & expected number of wins, the latter based around their run differential. In terms of exceeding expected win total, the White Sox' gap is actually the largest in all of baseball. As for the Cubs, they are now 32-15 their L47 Interleague games and averaging a healthy 5.4 rpg on the road. With a DH at their disposal for this game, they should have little difficulty knocking around Nova.
Nova is 0-4 in his seven home starts this year w/ an 8.31 ERA and 1.731 WHIP. The Cubs have a little revenge on their minds here as Nova beat them at Wrigley back on June 18th. But you can certainly expect a different outcome today as the Cubs look to go into the All-Star Break in first place in the NL Central. They'll give the baseball to Kyle Hendricks, who looked fine on Tuesday in his return from the DL. Hendricks has a 10-2 TSR when starting on exactly four days rest. 8* Chi Cubs