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St. Louis vs. San Francisco,
07/07/2019 16:05 EDT,
Score: 0 - 1
Total: -108/+8 Under
8* Under Cardinals/Giants (4:05 ET): San Francisco beat St. Louis last night, 8-4, thus going Over for a sixth straight games (7-0-1 Over L8). This is highly irregular for a club that ranks 27th in MLB in runs scored as well as 30th (last) in team batting average and 28th in OPS. For the year, they're averaging only 3.4 runs per game at home, which is substantially less than the 5.0 rpg they average on the road. I sense this final game before the All-Star Break is set to be lower scoring than anticipated as it's only a matter of time before the Giants' offense comes back down to Earth. Take the Under.
Now neither starting pitcher for today's game has great numbers. But San Francisco's Jeff Samardzija comes in off a strong outing, one in which he allowed only two runs in eight innings. That was in San Diego as the Giants ended up rolling to a 13-2 victory. It was one of three straight games where SF scored 10 or more runs and they've scored at least seven in five of the last six games. Again, this is highly irregular production for a team not known for putting runs on the board. There have been two times previous to this where the Giants have gone Over in six straight games. They've gone Under the next game both times, scoring just two runs total in those games.
Another positive for Samardzija is that he's held St. Louis' best hitter (Paul Goldschmidt) to a .229 average the 35 times he's faced him. As for keeping the Giants' suddenly surging offense in check, that falls on Jack Flaherty, who has struggled of late. But his last two starts were both against American League lineups. The last time Flaherty faced a NL lineup was 6.18 vs. Miami and he allowed just three runs in 7 IP. The Marlins' offensive numbers are actually quite similar to those of the Giants. The Under is 6-2-1 the L9 times St. Louis has been off a loss. 8* Under Cardinals/Giants