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MIKE LUNDIN'S TIGERS @ ASTROS FREE PICK

MIKE LUNDIN'S TIGERS @ ASTROS FREE PICK

Detroit vs. Houston, 08/21/2019 20:10 EDT, Score: 2 - 1

Total: -108/+8½ Under

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

Houston starter Justin Verlander (15-4, 2.81 ERA) should shut down the Tigers with ease. Detroit left-hander Daniel Norris (3-10, 4.82 ERA) is far from terrible and don't expect much fireworks from the Astros as their bats can take the night off and rely on their ace.

Note that under is 5-1 in Verlander's last 6 starts overall and 22-7-1 in his last 30 starts with 4 days of rest.

Additionally, the Astros look like they might close as a -500 favorite here. Since 2004, four teams have closed as favorite of -450 or more:

2004: Red Sox (-460) vs. Rays 2-5
2016: Dodgers (-450) vs. Braves 4-0
2017: Indians (-460) vs. Tigers 2-0
2019: Astros (-450) vs. Mariners 3-1

All low-scoring contests, and while it's just a small four-game sample, I recommend rolling with the under here.

Free pick on UNDER.

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