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Total of the Week MLB 10*

Total of the Week MLB 10*

Milwaukee vs. Washington, 10/01/2019 20:08 EDT, Score: 3 - 4

Total: -112/+7½ Over

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Loss

Total of the Week - Rickenbach MLB Rotation #911 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers @ 8:05 ET - No matter whom starts this game I like the over. We have a total of 7.5 and yet the Brewers bullpen had multiple late season collapses when it had a chance to catch the Cardinals for the NL Central title but failed to do so. As for the Nationals bullpen they had a 5.66 ERA in the regular season and that ranks them dead last - #30 out of 30 - on the season. Why are the bullpens so significant here? Neither team is likely to have starters that pitch deep into this game. The Brewers Brandon Woodruff is only recently back from an oblique injury and is likely to only go 2 or 3 innings. The Nationals Max Scherzer compiled a 5.16 ERA in the month of September and was not the same pitcher we saw in the first half of the season since he returned from injury. Now, I also know that in a "win or the season over" game we could see each team use additional starting pitchers here instead of turning to bullpen arms. However, keep in mind those guys are use to being starters not relievers and that is generally not an ideal situation for them to step into. That said, with the potency of each of these lineups, a low total of 7.5 runs, and summer-like weather in DC today, I see great value with the over in this match-up. Over their final 9 games of the season Milwaukee scored an average of 6 runs per game. Over their final 8 games of the season (an 8-0 run for Washington) the Nationals scored an average of 6.8 runs per game. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER the total in Washington


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