Power Sports' 10* SUN BELT GAME OF THE MONTH ~ 7-0 Weeknight Football Run!
Georgia Southern vs. South Alabama,
10/03/2019 19:30 EDT,
Score: 20 - 17
Point Spread: +10½/-110 South Alabama
10* South Alabama (7:30 ET): I guess I can understand why South Alabama is a double digit dog here. After all, every time they've faced a FBS opponent this year, they've lost by at least 13 pts. (Their only win was 37-14 over Jackson State). The Jaguars have also lost five straight years to Georgia Southern, failing to cover the spread in all five games. All five were decided by at least 15 points. Why should you expect anything different Thursday night? Well, Georgia Southern has also yet to beat a FBS opponent this year! They aren't exactly "favorite material" (if you know what I mean), especially when it comes to laying double digits on the road. Take the points here.
Georgia Southern certainly failed to impress me last Saturday as they lost 37-24 at home to Louisiana. We've come away impressed w/ Louisiana in the past, but they were playing on the road for a second straight week while Georgia Southern was off a bye. It's a spot you'd expect the Eagles to play better in. Instead, it was a game they never led (despite being +2 in TO's) and got outgained 440-252. The only team the Eagles have beaten this year is Maine and that was by just eight points (26-18) at home. Their other two losses were against Power 5 opponents (LSU, Minnesota) on the road. After winning 10 games a year ago, Ga Southern definitely was a candidate to regress in 2019, but it appears said regression could be more severe than anticipated.
South Alabama may represent a steep drop in class from a P5 opponent, but we still see them being a "tough out" in this spot, despite the poor history w/ Ga Southern. The Jaguars have taken their lumps so far this year, but they did cover against Nebraska (lost by only 14 in Lincoln) and then last week at La Monroe. It was a 7-pt game LW heading into the 4Q and USA actaully had a 24-18 edge in first downs over ULM. After playing three of the first five games on the road, including B2B weeks, the Jaguars should be pretty motivated for a Thursday night home game on ESPNU. They are 7-2 ATS the L9 times they've been off B2B losses. There was just one time LY where Ga Southern was favored by more than this on the road and we faded them in the spot. They were facing a bad Texas State team and only won the game 15-13. Same thing here. 10* South Alabama