*10* NCAAF TOTAL OF THE WEEK (Power Sports) ~ 7-1 Last Week! +$16,924 Overall!
SMU vs. Memphis,
11/02/2019 19:30 EDT,
Score: 48 - 54
Total: -110/+72 Under
10* Under SMU/Memphis (7:30 ET): This is a real "contrarian" type play with two high-scoring teams meeting in the Liberty Bowl Saturday night. A case could be made that this is the most significant game of the weekend as the result should go a long way in determining who is the "Group of 5" representative in the New Year's Six Bowl Games. SMU is undefeated (8-0), but is the underdog here and probably should be seeing as Memphis (7-1) is 17-2 SU its L19 home games w/ both losses coming by just a single point! But we want no part of laying this number now that it's been bet up. The total is predictably very high and that's where the true value is. Take the Under.
SMU had a real "close call" last Thursday against Houston, winning 34-31 as double digit favorite. They were outgained 510-385 and needed a defensive stop on the final drive to preserve the victory. That wasn't the first "close call" the Mustangs have had this season. Half of their wins have been by six points or fewer, all four coming against teams that aren't going to end up in the Top 25. Last week was a season-low in points and yards for the SMU offense. It was also the first time this season that one of their games stayed Under the total. As a reminder, I had both Houston and the Under in that matchup. So I feel I've got a real "feel" for this team right now.
Now Memphis had its own close call last week, holding on to beat Tulsa 42-41 as the Golden Hurricane missed a 29-yard FG as time expired. Before you go dismissing the Tigers' defensive effort in that game (allowed 584 yards), note that they were on the field for 101 snaps! It was also a road game. Here at the Liberty Bowl, the Tigers are allowing only 18.5 PPG. They held Ole Miss, an SEC team, to just 10 pts in the season opener here. Now Memphis' last five games have all gone Over. But that was against a weaker slate of opponents than they'll face Saturday night. The Memphis streak of Overs, combined w/ SMU's O/U record have conspired to give us one of the higher O/U lines of this NCAAF season. It's not easy going Over a total this high. 10* Under SMU/Memphis