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Wise Guy

Wise Guy

Tampa Bay vs. Seattle, 11/03/2019 16:05 EDT, Score: 34 - 40

Total: -102/+53 Under

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Loss

Late Kickoff Total of the Year

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1451-1191-55. This includes 294-156-13 since 2014, 23-5 this season.

Total on disappointing defenses based on disappointing offense and defense based on delta points allowed and scored is 1311-1010. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread. Insert scored instead of allowed for delta points scored.

Combined it has gone under 590-429-23, including 181-90-7 since 2014 and 79-31 since 2017, led by 26-5 this season!


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