*10* TOTAL POWER ~ Coming off 6-1 Saturday! Won Total of the Week in NBA!
Dallas vs. Cleveland,
11/03/2019 19:30 EDT,
Score: 131 - 111
Total: -105/+215 Under
10* Under Mavericks/Cavs (7:35 ET): Dallas' last game would not have gone Over w/o OT as it was 103-103 at the end of regulation (O/U line: 217). That was also a brutal loss for anyone that took the Mavs +2 (I did) as they led outright most of the game, only to end up losing by nine. PG Luka Doncic got banged up near the end of the game, which definitely contributed to the team's poor showing in overtime. Doncic is listed as probable for tonight, but it's something worth monitoring. I don't see Dallas continuing to shoot as well on the road regardless as they've made 48.6% of their FG attempts in two games, both wins. Take the Under here.
Cleveland is 2-0 at home so far, having beaten Indiana and Chicago. Similar to Dallas on the road, I don't see the young Cavaliers being able to maintain their current shooting at home, which is 51.3% from the field, well above what they are shooting on the road (where they are 0-3). The Cavs were very bad defensively a season ago, ranking dead last in efficiency. But they seem to be improved under new HC John Beilein as they've allowed 102 pts or less in three of five games so far and they're up to a much more respectable 15th in defensive efficiency.
Unfortunately for the Cavs, they are averaging only 103.8 PPG overall, which is near the bottom of the league. Only six teams average a fewer number of points per game. Rookie Darius Garland was 0 for 10 from the field against Indiana on Friday, a game the Cavs lost by only six points. He'll shoot better than that tonight (obviously), but as I said when I played the Under in that game vs. Indiana, early season numbers from Kevin Love and Tristan Thompson are due to decline. Both of these teams shoot the ball around 44% for the year, but the Mavs are way higher on the road while the Cavs are way higher here at home. Those road/home percentages are due to regress back to the mean. 10* Under Mavericks/Cavs