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Wise Guy

Wise Guy

Toronto vs. Detroit, 06/05/2014 13:08 EDT, Score: 7 - 3

Money Line: +153 Toronto

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

Weekday Afternoon Dandy Dog AL Game of the Year

Toronto has won four straight and 18-of-22 and 23-of-30. Detroit has lost four straight and 12-of-16. There is something about fading a large favorite that has lost as many in a row as their opponent has in their last 22 that appeals to me. In fact, Toronto has won nine straight as an underdog and are 10-1 their last 11 road games.

Detroit has failed in six straight as a favorite. Last five games Toronto has a slugging percentage edge of .465 to .329. In their last 10 games it is .497 to .344.

Of course Detroit has a big pitching edge, hence the great value. However, recent form says otherwise. Toronto has won 3-of-4 with A.J. Happ. They have won both of his road starts as his day and road splits are much better than home and night.

In his last four games Justin Verlander has a 6.

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