Stephen Nover Free Monday Play
Tampa Bay vs. Chi White Sox,
08/03/2015 20:10 EDT,
Score: 5 - 4
Money Line: +125 Tampa Bay
For just a fleeting moment it looked like the White Sox might make a move. They had won a season-high seven in a row.
Since then, though, the White Sox have lost three of their past four. They've been hammered in those defeats losing by a margin of 33-11. Any excitement on the south side of Chicago has quelled. I'm not buying into the White Sox being a favorite against the Rays in a pitching matchup of Nate Karns versus Jose Quintana.
Both of these pitchers are somewhat underrated. But the White Sox don't win for the southpaw Quintana and the Rays are very good against lefties.
Chicago has lost nine of the past 12 times Quintana has been favored.
The Rays ranked sixth in Weighted On-Base Average (WOBA) against southpaws. Tampa Bay is 13-3 in its last 16 games versus a southpaw starter and has won seven of the past nine times when facing a lefty on the road.
The White Sox are bad defensively ranking 24th in errors. They also rate 24th in runs scored and 25th in homers.
Karns has given up two runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts. The Rays enter the matchup having just beaten the Red Sox on the road Sunday.
(Editor's note: Long-time Vegas pro Stephen Nover is on an amazing 18-7 baseball run and has his 10-Dime Total of the Week going today in addition to this free selection.)