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Will Rogers Free Pick

Will Rogers Free Pick

Minnesota vs. Toronto, 08/03/2015 13:07 EDT, Score: 1 - 5

Point Spread: -1½/-105 Toronto

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

1* free play on Toronto -1.5...
The Minnesota Twins have won only five games since the All Star break and the surging Toronto Blue Jays are now only one game behind them for the second Wild Card in the AL. The Jays have won four of their last five, including three of four against the AL-best Royals, and I think they'll prove to be well worth the price in this match-up.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Twins hand the ball to Ervin Santana (2-1, 3.78 ERA) who'll make his sixth start since coming back from an 80-game suspension. He's been inconsistent in the previous five and struggled big time in his most recent starts, surrendering eight runs (six earned) on eight hits and four walks in 5 2/3 innings. The Jays will counter with elite southpaw David Price (9-4, 2.53) who'll make his first start for Toronto since coming over from the Tigers. It won't be his first start at Toronto though where he's 7-0 with a 3.86 ERA in nine career starts as a visitor. He should not have any problem to make Rogers Centre his own and he's dominated the Twins over the last two seasons going 6-1 with a 1.87 ERA in seven meetings.

2. Home Cookin' - The Blue Jays are a solid 32-21 at home for the year and they're 4-1 in their last five games as a home favorite. The Twins meanwhile have won just one of their last five away from home as an underdog.

3. X-Factor - Minnesota has lost five straight games when facing a left-handed starter.

Selection: This is a play on the Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (Free)

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